Geelong vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2026
Last updated: Aug 22, 2026, 9:44AM | Published: Aug 16, 2026, 7:25AM
Geelong will sqaure off with Richmond in AFL Round 24 action at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 7:45pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 99% chance of beating the Tigers at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.01, Richmond $19.00
- Line: Geelong -72.5 ($1.91), Richmond +72.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 187.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.01 and Richmond at $19.00.
The Cats are listed as 72.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+72.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 187.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-72.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 187.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Geelong vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.01 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -72.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 187.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Geelong vs Richmond predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Geelong vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Richmond at GMHBA Stadium this Saturday is Geelong winning 132-56.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Geelong vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Geelong vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Richmond.
Cameron has an 11.2% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 96.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 11.2% probability
- Shannon Neale: 9.4% probability
- Oliver Henry: 8.4% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 6.4% probability
- Jay Polkinghorne: 6.3% probability
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 6.1% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 4.5% probability
- Tim Taranto: 3.4% probability
- Seth Campbell: 2.5% probability
- Steely Green: 2.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 96.8% probability
- Shannon Neale: 94.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 93.4% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 86.5% probability
- Oliver Dempsey: 86.5% probability
Richmond
- Tom Lynch: 87.7% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 76.5% probability
- Tim Taranto: 68.0% probability
- Seth Campbell: 56.8% probability
- Steely Green: 52.4% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Richmond game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 24 clash between the Cats and Tigers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:45pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Richmond predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.
