Geelong vs Port Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 21, 2025
Last updated: Aug 3, 2025, 5:15AM | Published: Jul 27, 2025, 10:10PM
Geelong will take on Port Adelaide in AFL Round 21 action at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs Port Adelaide game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Geelong vs Port Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 98% chance of defeating the Power at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.03, Port Adelaide $15.00
- Line: Geelong -59.5 ($1.91), Port Adelaide +59.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 178.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.03 and Port Adelaide at $15.00.
The Cats are listed as 59.5-point favourites against the Power, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Power (+59.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 178.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Power (+59.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 178.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.03 with Bet365
- Line: P Adelaide +59.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 178.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Geelong vs Port Adelaide best bets are based on complex simulations and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Port Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday is Geelong winning 116-59.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Port Adelaide match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Searching for Geelong vs Port Adelaide goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Geelong's Jeremy Cameron is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Geelong vs Port Adelaide.
Cameron has a 10.1% chance of kicking the first goal at GMHBA Stadium, while the Cats star has a 95.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 10.1% probability
- Shannon Neale: 6.2% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 5.8% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 5.7% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 4.7% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 7.4% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 4.1% probability
- Ollie Lord: 3.1% probability
- Joe Richards: 2.9% probability
- Jed McEntee: 2.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Geelong
- Jeremy Cameron: 95.3% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 83.3% probability
- Shannon Neale: 82.7% probability
- Patrick Dangerfield: 82.6% probability
- Shaun Mannagh: 73.2% probability
Port Adelaide
- Mitch Georgiades: 90.7% probability
- Darcy Byrne-Jones: 68.2% probability
- Ollie Lord: 63.6% probability
- Joe Richards: 59.2% probability
- Jed McEntee: 47.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Port Adelaide match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 21 clash between the Cats and Power at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:20pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Port Adelaide
- Date: Sunday 3 August 2025
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: GMHBA Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Port Adelaide predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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