Geelong vs Essendon Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Aug 5, 2025, 6:10AM | Published: Aug 3, 2025, 12:21PM
Geelong will face Essendon in AFL Round 22 action at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Essendon game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Geelong vs Essendon AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 99% chance of defeating the Bombers at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Essendon: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.01, Essendon $21.00
- Line: Geelong -67.5 ($1.91), Essendon +67.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 180.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.01 and Essendon at $21.00.
The Cats are listed as 67.5-point favourites against the Bombers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Bombers (+67.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 180.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+67.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 180.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Geelong vs Essendon: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.01 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +67.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 180.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Essendon betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Geelong vs Essendon: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Essendon at GMHBA Stadium this Friday is Geelong winning 120-56.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Essendon match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Essendon game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Essendon: Essential Details
The AFL Round 22 clash between the Cats and Bombers at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Essendon predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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