Geelong vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jul 2, 2026, 9:32AM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 8:26AM
Geelong will sqaure off with Brisbane in AFL Round 17 action at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Brisbane game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Geelong vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 70% chance of winning against the Lions at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.45, Brisbane $2.75
- Line: Geelong -11.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.45 and Brisbane at $2.75.
The Cats are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 167.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.45 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Brisbane at GMHBA Stadium this Thursday is Geelong winning 91-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Brisbane match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Geelong vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Cats and Lions at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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