Geelong vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Grand Final 2025
Last updated: Sep 24, 2025, 7:21PM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 11:50PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Brisbane in the 2025 AFL Grand Final at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 2:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Geelong vs Brisbane game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Geelong vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats a 55% chance of beating the Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.54, Brisbane $2.50
- Line: Geelong -10.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 172.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.54 and Brisbane at $2.50.
The Cats are listed as 10.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 172.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Lions (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 172.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 98% of the time.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $2.50 with Bet365
- Line: Brisbane +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 172.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best tips for today across any sport.
These Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Cats have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Lions to win is our preferred option due to the 4.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Geelong winning 65-61.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Grand Final clash between the Cats and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 2:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 27 September 2025
- Time: 2:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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