Geelong vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Grand Final 2025
Last updated: Sep 27, 2025, 4:30AM | Published: Sep 21, 2025, 11:50PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Brisbane in the 2025 AFL Grand Final at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, starting at 2:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Geelong vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 69% chance of winning against the Lions in this week's AFL Grand Final.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.54, Brisbane $2.55
- Line: Geelong -11.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.54 and Brisbane at $2.55.
The Cats are listed as 11.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 176.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 176.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 63% of the time.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 176.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across any sport.
Today's Geelong vs Brisbane predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday is Geelong winning 91-78.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Brisbane match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Geelong vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Grand Final clash between the Cats and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 2:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 27 September 2025
- Time: 2:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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