Geelong vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2025
Last updated: Aug 30, 2025, 6:50PM | Published: Aug 27, 2025, 11:05PM
Geelong will sqaure off with Brisbane in AFL Finals Week 1 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Geelong vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Geelong vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Cats a 62% chance of defeating the Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.70, Brisbane $2.18
- Line: Geelong -5.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.70 and Brisbane at $2.18.
The Cats are 5.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.70 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Geelong vs Brisbane betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday is Geelong winning 88-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Geelong vs Brisbane match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Brisbane match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Finals clash between the Cats and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Geelong vs Brisbane
- Date: Friday 5 September 2025
- Time: 7:40pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Brisbane predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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