Geelong vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 26, 2026, 8:32AM | Published: Mar 23, 2026, 1:05AM
Geelong will sqaure off with Adelaide in AFL Round 3 action at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Geelong vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Geelong vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Cats an 80% chance of winning against the Crows in Round 3 of the 2026 AFL season.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at GMHBA Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Geelong $1.27, Adelaide $3.85
- Line: Geelong -23.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +23.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Geelong at $1.27 and Adelaide at $3.85.
The Cats are 23.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 169.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (-23.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 169.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $1.27 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong -23.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Geelong vs Adelaide predictions are based on detailed simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Geelong vs Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium on Thursday is Geelong winning 96-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Geelong vs Adelaide match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Geelong vs Adelaide game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Geelong vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Cats and Crows at GMHBA Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEDT on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Geelong vs Adelaide predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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