Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 6, 2023
Apr 17, 2023, 2:05AM
Fremantle plays the Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 6 action at Optus Stadium on Friday, beginning at 8:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who will win? Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
Based on high-tech machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Fremantle-Western Bulldogs AFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers a 52% chance of beating the Bulldogs at Optus Stadium.
More: Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs Simulated 10,000 Times
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs Best Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.90, Bulldogs $2.10
- Line: Fremantle -2.5 ($2.04), Bulldogs +2.5 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 163.5 Points): Over $1.94, Under $2.04
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Fremantle to win at $1.90 and the Bulldogs to win at $2.10.
The Dockers are 2.5-point favourites against the Bulldogs, with odds of $2.04 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Bulldogs (+2.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs is set at 163.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.94 and odds for the Under at $2.04.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bulldogs (+2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the 163.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Today's Best Bets for All Sports
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs AFL Best Bets
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $2.10 with Betfair (0.7% edge)
- Line: Fremantle -2.5 at $2.04 with Betfair
- Total Points: Over 163.5 at $1.94 with Betfair (53% probability)
Our Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
And while the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bulldogs to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Although the Bulldogs are more likely to cover the line, our best bet of Dockers -2.5 is based on the chance of that happening, as projected by our predictive analytics model, and the best odds available.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs at Optus Stadium this Friday has Fremantle winning 83-81.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs on Friday, including pre-match predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Fremantle vs Bulldogs Goal Kickers
Searching for Fremantle vs Bulldogs goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Western.
Naughton has a 7.9% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has an 88.4% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Michael Walters: 5.9% probability
- Jye Amiss: 5.9% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.9% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 4.6% probability
- Sam Sturt: 4.3% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 7.9% probability
- Rory Lobb: 5.4% probability
- Cody Weightman: 4.9% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 4.8% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 3.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Michael Walters: 80.6% probability
- Jye Amiss: 79.8% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 72.6% probability
- Michael Frederick: 72.3% probability
- Sam Sturt: 67.8% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 88.4% probability
- Rory Lobb: 76.8% probability
- Jamarra Ugle-Hagan: 75.2% probability
- Cody Weightman: 74.4% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 63.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Bulldogs game at Optus Stadium.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs AFL 2023
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Dockers and Bulldogs at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:10pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 21 April 2023
- Time: 8:10pm AEST
- Venue: Optus Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
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