Fremantle vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 22, 2026, 10:23AM | Published: May 17, 2026, 12:32PM
Fremantle will take on St Kilda in AFL Round 11 action at Optus Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Fremantle vs St Kilda game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Fremantle vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 76% chance of winning against the Saints in Round 11 of the 2026 AFL season.
Fremantle vs St Kilda: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.27, St Kilda $3.85
- Line: Fremantle -22.5 ($1.91), St Kilda +22.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 167.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.27 and St Kilda at $3.85.
The Dockers are 22.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Saints (+22.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 167.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Fremantle and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 167.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Fremantle vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $3.85 with Bet365
- Line: St Kilda +22.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 167.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Fremantle vs St Kilda betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Fremantle vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs St Kilda at Optus Stadium this Friday is Fremantle prevailing 95-73.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Fremantle vs St Kilda match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs St Kilda: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Fremantle vs St Kilda goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Josh Treacy is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs St Kilda.
Treacy has a 9.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has a 93.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 9.3% probability
- Jye Amiss: 8.4% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.7% probability
- Michael Frederick: 5.0% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 4.6% probability
St Kilda
- Cooper Sharman: 6.6% probability
- Max Hall: 5.8% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 5.3% probability
- Mattaes Phillipou: 3.4% probability
- Mason Wood: 3.3% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 93.9% probability
- Jye Amiss: 92.6% probability
- Patrick Voss: 87.1% probability
- Michael Frederick: 77.9% probability
- Shai Bolton: 73.7% probability
St Kilda
- Cooper Sharman: 87.1% probability
- Max Hall: 80.5% probability
- Darcy Wilson: 77.7% probability
- Mattaes Phillipou: 62.5% probability
- Mason Wood: 62.5% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting predictions before the Fremantle vs St Kilda match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Dockers and Saints at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs St Kilda predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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