Fremantle vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 28, 2026, 5:10AM | Published: Mar 22, 2026, 1:00AM
Fremantle will take on Richmond in AFL Round 3 action at Optus Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Fremantle vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 95% chance of beating the Tigers at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.03, Richmond $12.00
- Line: Fremantle -52.5 ($1.91), Richmond +52.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 164.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.03 and Richmond at $12.00.
The Dockers are listed as 52.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+52.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 164.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-52.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 164.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.03 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -52.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 164.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Fremantle vs Richmond best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Richmond at Optus Stadium this Saturday is Fremantle winning 108-53.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Fremantle vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Richmond: Goal Scorers
Searching for Fremantle vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Shai Bolton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Richmond.
Bolton has an 8.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has an 88.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 8.2% probability
- Jye Amiss: 8.2% probability
- Josh Treacy: 7.9% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.7% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 5.6% probability
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 3.9% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 3.3% probability
- Sam Lalor: 3.0% probability
- Seth Campbell: 2.7% probability
- Harry Armstrong: 2.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 88.2% probability
- Josh Treacy: 87.5% probability
- Jye Amiss: 85.9% probability
- Patrick Voss: 81.6% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 76.0% probability
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 60.8% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 56.2% probability
- Harry Armstrong: 52.5% probability
- Seth Campbell: 51.8% probability
- Sam Lalor: 50.0% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Richmond match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Dockers and Tigers at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Richmond predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.
