Fremantle vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 27, 2026, 10:00AM | Published: Mar 23, 2026, 1:00AM
Fremantle will face Richmond in AFL Round 3 action at Optus Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 4:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Fremantle vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers a 96% chance of winning against the Tigers in Round 3 of the 2026 AFL season.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.04, Richmond $11.00
- Line: Fremantle -49.5 ($1.91), Richmond +49.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 151.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.04 and Richmond at $11.00.
The Dockers are 49.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+49.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 151.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-49.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 151.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.04 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 151.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips of the day across any sport.
Our Fremantle vs Richmond betting tips are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Richmond at Optus Stadium this Saturday is Fremantle winning 103-46.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Fremantle vs Richmond match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Richmond: Goal Kickers
Looking for Fremantle vs Richmond goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Josh Treacy is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Richmond.
Treacy has an 8.8% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has an 85.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 8.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 8.3% probability
- Shai Bolton: 8.1% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.8% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 6.2% probability
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 3.2% probability
- Harry Armstrong: 2.8% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 2.8% probability
- Seth Campbell: 2.6% probability
- Sam Lalor: 2.5% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 86.5% probability
- Josh Treacy: 85.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 84.1% probability
- Patrick Voss: 79.6% probability
- Isaiah Dudley: 73.7% probability
Richmond
- Jonty Faull: 55.9% probability
- Mykelti Lefau: 51.4% probability
- Harry Armstrong: 47.9% probability
- Seth Campbell: 47.2% probability
- Sam Lalor: 45.4% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Richmond game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Dockers and Tigers at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:15pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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