Fremantle vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 9, 2026
Last updated: May 7, 2026, 10:08AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 10:25AM
Fremantle will face Hawthorn in AFL Round 9 action at Optus Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 8:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Hawthorn game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Fremantle vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 59% chance of defeating the Hawks at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.70, Hawthorn $2.18
- Line: Fremantle -5.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.70 and Hawthorn at $2.18.
The Dockers are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 176.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dockers (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 176.5-point over/under is expected to go over 56% of the time.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.70 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 176.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Fremantle vs Hawthorn best bets are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7/365.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Hawthorn at Optus Stadium on Thursday is Fremantle winning 93-86.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Looking for Fremantle vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Hawthorn's Jack Gunston is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Hawthorn.
Gunston has a 13.1% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Hawks star has a 98.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 7.5% probability
- Jye Amiss: 6.0% probability
- Patrick Voss: 5.7% probability
- Shai Bolton: 4.4% probability
- Luke Jackson: 3.9% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 13.1% probability
- Nick Watson: 7.6% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 5.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 4.1% probability
- Dylan Moore: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Josh Treacy: 90.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 87.1% probability
- Patrick Voss: 81.9% probability
- Shai Bolton: 75.0% probability
- Michael Frederick: 70.6% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 98.9% probability
- Nick Watson: 91.3% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 82.6% probability
- Jack Ginnivan: 71.4% probability
- Dylan Moore: 66.3% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Fremantle vs Hawthorn match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Round 9 clash between the Dockers and Hawks at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:10pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Hawthorn predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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