Fremantle vs Hawthorn Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 2 2026
Last updated: Sep 3, 2026, 10:41AM | Published: Aug 29, 2026, 10:25AM
Fremantle will face Hawthorn in AFL Finals Week 2 action at Optus Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 8:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Fremantle vs Hawthorn game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Fremantle vs Hawthorn AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers a 69% chance of winning against the Hawks at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.47, Hawthorn $2.70
- Line: Fremantle -13.5 ($1.91), Hawthorn +13.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.47 and Hawthorn at $2.70.
The Dockers are 13.5-point favourites against the Hawks, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Hawks (+13.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-13.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 166.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.47 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -13.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Fremantle vs Hawthorn predictions are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Hawthorn at Optus Stadium on Thursday is Fremantle winning 91-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Hawthorn match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Goal Scorers
Looking for Fremantle vs Hawthorn goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Jye Amiss is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Hawthorn.
Amiss has an 11.0% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has a 95.8% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 11.0% probability
- Josh Treacy: 9.3% probability
- Patrick Voss: 6.6% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.4% probability
- Luke Jackson: 3.9% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 9.5% probability
- Nick Watson: 7.2% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 4.3% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.0% probability
- Max Beattie: 3.0% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 95.8% probability
- Josh Treacy: 92.7% probability
- Patrick Voss: 85.3% probability
- Michael Frederick: 71.4% probability
- Luke Jackson: 66.3% probability
Hawthorn
- Jack Gunston: 94.1% probability
- Nick Watson: 87.7% probability
- Mitch Lewis: 71.8% probability
- Mabior Chol: 67.8% probability
- Max Beattie: 58.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Hawthorn game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn: Essential Details
The AFL Finals clash between the Dockers and Hawks at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:10pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Hawthorn predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures probabilities for the AFL.

