Fremantle vs Gold Coast Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 5, 2023
Apr 10, 2023, 11:05PM
Fremantle takes on Gold Coast in AFL Round 5 action at Norwood Oval on Friday, commencing at 5:10pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Fremantle vs Gold Coast, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who will win? Fremantle vs Gold Coast
Using detailed machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Friday's Fremantle-Gold Coast AFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 59% chance of defeating the Suns in Round 5 of the 2023 AFL season.
More: Fremantle vs Gold Coast Simulated 10K Times
Fremantle vs Gold Coast Current Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Norwood Oval are shown here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.69, Gold Coast $2.44
- Line: Fremantle -8.5 ($1.97), Gold Coast +8.5 ($1.92)
- Total (Over/Under 160.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $2.00
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Fremantle to win at $1.69 and Gold Coast to win at $2.44.
The Dockers are listed as 8.5-point favourites against the Suns, with odds of $1.97 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Suns (+8.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.92.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 160.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $2.00.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Suns (+8.5) have a 52% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 160.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Fremantle vs Gold Coast Best Bets
- Head to Head: Gold Coast at $2.44 with Betfair (0.2% edge)
- Line: Gold Coast +8.5 at $1.92 with Betfair (52% probability)
- Total Points: Under 160.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
Our Fremantle vs Gold Coast betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Suns to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the Betfair odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Gold Coast at Norwood Oval this Friday has Fremantle winning 83-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Fremantle vs Gold Coast on Friday, including pre-match predictions, computer tips, and live updates.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast Goal Scorers
Searching for Fremantle vs Gold Coast goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Gold Coast's Ben King is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Gold Coast.
King has a 7.4% chance of kicking the first goal at Norwood Oval, while the Suns star has an 86.5% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Michael Walters: 7.3% probability
- Jye Amiss: 4.9% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 4.6% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.5% probability
- Sam Sturt: 4.3% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 7.4% probability
- Mabior Chol: 4.7% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 4.6% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 4.1% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 3.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Michael Walters: 84.6% probability
- Jye Amiss: 73.7% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 72.8% probability
- Michael Frederick: 70.0% probability
- Sam Sturt: 66.1% probability
Gold Coast
- Ben King: 86.5% probability
- Mabior Chol: 76.7% probability
- Ben Ainsworth: 69.0% probability
- Bailey Humphrey: 62.5% probability
- Jack Lukosius: 60.7% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Gold Coast game at Norwood Oval.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Fremantle vs Gold Coast AFL 2023
The AFL Round 5 clash between the Dockers and Suns at Norwood Oval is scheduled to start at 5:10pm AEST on Friday.
- Game: Fremantle vs Gold Coast
- Date: Friday 14 April 2023
- Time: 5:10pm AEST
- Venue: Norwood Oval
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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