Fremantle vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Semi-Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 5, 2026, 7:35PM | Published: Sep 5, 2026, 3:31PM
Fremantle will face Geelong in AFL Semi-Final action at Optus Stadium on Friday, beginning at 8:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Fremantle vs Geelong game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Fremantle vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 66% chance of winning against the Cats at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.60, Geelong $2.35
- Line: Fremantle -9.5 ($1.91), Geelong +9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.60 and Geelong at $2.35.
The Dockers are 9.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 173.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 63% of the time.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.60 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Stats Insider's Fremantle vs Geelong betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Geelong at Optus Stadium on Friday is Fremantle winning 89-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Fremantle vs Geelong match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Fremantle vs Geelong match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Semi-Final clash between the Dockers and Cats at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:10pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Geelong predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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