Fremantle vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Semi-Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026, 10:10AM | Published: Sep 5, 2026, 3:31PM
Fremantle will sqaure off with Geelong in AFL Semi-Final action at Optus Stadium on Friday, beginning at 8:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Fremantle vs Geelong game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Fremantle vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 67% chance of beating the Cats in their AFL semi-final clash.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.50, Geelong $2.60
- Line: Fremantle -11.5 ($1.91), Geelong +11.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.50 and Geelong at $2.60.
The Dockers are 11.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+11.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-11.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 179.5-point over/under is expected to go over 52% of the time.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.50 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -11.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 179.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Fremantle vs Geelong betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Geelong at Optus Stadium this Friday is Fremantle winning 97-83.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Geelong match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Geelong match.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Semi-Final clash between the Dockers and Cats at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:10pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Geelong predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

