Fremantle vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 14, 2025, 7:05PM | Published: Aug 12, 2025, 5:21AM
Fremantle will take on Brisbane in AFL Round 23 action at Optus Stadium on Friday, starting at 8:35pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Fremantle vs Brisbane AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dockers a 58% chance of defeating the Lions at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.78, Brisbane $2.05
- Line: Fremantle -3.5 ($1.91), Brisbane +3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.78 and Brisbane at $2.05.
The Dockers are 3.5-point favourites against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dockers (-3.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 166.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $1.78 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Fremantle vs Brisbane predictions are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Brisbane at Optus Stadium on Friday is Fremantle winning 85-80.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Brisbane match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Brisbane: Goal Kickers
Looking for Fremantle vs Brisbane goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Shai Bolton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Brisbane.
Bolton has a 6.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has an 83.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 6.2% probability
- Patrick Voss: 5.8% probability
- Jye Amiss: 5.4% probability
- Josh Treacy: 5.3% probability
- Michael Frederick: 5.2% probability
Brisbane
- Zac Bailey: 5.8% probability
- Logan Morris: 5.4% probability
- Cam Rayner: 4.9% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 4.6% probability
- Callum Chee: 4.6% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Shai Bolton: 83.2% probability
- Jye Amiss: 80.3% probability
- Patrick Voss: 79.7% probability
- Michael Frederick: 79.4% probability
- Josh Treacy: 79.2% probability
Brisbane
- Zac Bailey: 81.1% probability
- Logan Morris: 79.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 74.3% probability
- Cam Rayner: 72.9% probability
- Callum Chee: 69.6% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Brisbane match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Dockers and Lions at Optus Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:35pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Brisbane predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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