Fremantle vs Brisbane Prediction and Tips - AFL Grand Final 2026
Last updated: Sep 19, 2026, 1:40PM | Published: Sep 19, 2026, 11:25AM
Fremantle will face Brisbane in the 2026 AFL Grand Final at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, September 26, commencing at 2:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Fremantle vs Brisbane game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Lions vs Dockers 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 53% chance of defeating the Dockers in this week's AFL Grand Final.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for this AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are listed here:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $2.30, Brisbane $1.62
- Line: Fremantle +8.5 ($1.91), Brisbane -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 190.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $2.30 and Brisbane at $1.62.
The Dockers are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Lions, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Lions (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 190.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dockers (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 190.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Fremantle at $2.30 with Bet365
- Line: Fremantle +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 190.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across any sport.
Today's Fremantle vs Brisbane predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dockers to win is our recommended option because of the 4.0% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is Brisbane winning 95-93.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Brisbane match on Saturday, September 26, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Brisbane game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Brisbane: Essential Details
The AFL Grand Final clash between the Dockers and Lions at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 2:30pm AEST on Saturday, September 26.
- Teams: Fremantle vs Brisbane
- Date: Saturday 26 September 2026
- Time: 2:30pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Brisbane predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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