Fremantle vs Adelaide Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2026
Last updated: Aug 14, 2026, 10:08AM | Published: Aug 9, 2026, 9:25AM
Fremantle will face Adelaide in AFL Round 23 action at Optus Stadium on Friday, commencing at 8:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Fremantle vs Adelaide game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Fremantle vs Adelaide AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers a 75% chance of beating the Crows in Round 23 of the 2026 AFL season.
Fremantle vs Adelaide: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Optus Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Fremantle $1.27, Adelaide $3.85
- Line: Fremantle -23.5 ($1.91), Adelaide +23.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Fremantle at $1.27 and Adelaide at $3.85.
The Dockers are 23.5-point favourites against the Crows, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Crows (+23.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Crows (+23.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to go over 53% of the time.
Fremantle vs Adelaide: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Adelaide at $3.85 with Bet365
- Line: Adelaide +23.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Fremantle vs Adelaide betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Crows to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Fremantle vs Adelaide: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Fremantle vs Adelaide at Optus Stadium this Friday is Fremantle winning 95-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Fremantle vs Adelaide match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Fremantle vs Adelaide: Goal Scorers
Looking for Fremantle vs Adelaide goal kicker tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Fremantle's Jye Amiss is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Fremantle vs Adelaide.
Amiss has a 10.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Optus Stadium, while the Dockers star has a 96.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 10.3% probability
- Josh Treacy: 9.7% probability
- Patrick Voss: 7.8% probability
- Michael Frederick: 4.8% probability
- Luke Jackson: 4.3% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 6.2% probability
- Josh Rachele: 6.1% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 5.8% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 4.1% probability
- Ben Keays: 4.1% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Fremantle
- Jye Amiss: 96.0% probability
- Josh Treacy: 95.1% probability
- Patrick Voss: 91.3% probability
- Michael Frederick: 74.0% probability
- Luke Jackson: 74.0% probability
Adelaide
- Darcy Fogarty: 84.3% probability
- Riley Thilthorpe: 81.9% probability
- Josh Rachele: 81.9% probability
- Jordan Dawson: 72.5% probability
- Ben Keays: 72.5% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Fremantle vs Adelaide game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Fremantle vs Adelaide: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Dockers and Crows at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:10pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Fremantle vs Adelaide predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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