Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur Prediction - 2026 Australian Open
Last updated: Jan 22, 2026, 10:32PM | Published: Jan 21, 2026, 4:15PM
Frances Tiafoe will sqaure off with Alex de Minaur in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open on Friday.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Tiafoe vs de Minaur match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Tiafoe-de Minaur men's singles match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives de Minaur an 83% chance of beating Tiafoe in the 2026 Australian Open.
Tiafoe vs de Minaur: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's 2026 Australian Open match between Tiafoe and de Minaur are shown below:
- Head to Head: Tiafoe $5.00, de Minaur $1.16
- First Set: Tiafoe $3.40, de Minaur $1.33
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Tiafoe at $5.00 and de Minaur at $1.16.
TAB currently has odds for Tiafoe to win the first set at $3.40 and odds for de Minaur to win the first set at $1.33.
Tiafoe vs de Minaur: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Tiafoe at $5.00 with TAB
- First Set: de Minaur at $1.83 with TAB (55% probability)
Stats Insider's Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
Although our predictive analytics model suggests that de Minaur is more likely to win the match, taking Tiafoe to win is the best option because of the edge we found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds that are currently available.
Using the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
And while de Minaur is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of de Minaur ($1.83) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.
Tiafoe vs de Minaur: Prediction
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur match at the 2026 Australian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Tiafoe-de Minaur match in the 2026 Australian Open.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every tennis match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Tiafoe vs de Minaur: 2026 Australian Open Essential Details
The 2026 Australian Open match between Frances Tiafoe and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to start at 7:00pm AEDT.
- Match: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur
- Date: Friday 23 January 2026
- Approx. Time: 7:00pm AEDT
- Event: 2026 Australian Open, Men's Singles
- Round: Third round
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex de Minaur predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tennis predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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