Falcons vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026
Last updated: Jan 4, 2026, 6:01PM | Published: Dec 30, 2025, 4:40AM
The Atlanta Falcons will sqaure off with the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 18 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Falcons vs Saints game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Atlanta vs New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 63% chance of winning against the Saints in Week 18 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Saints: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.45, Saints $2.80
- Line: Falcons -4.5 ($1.91), Saints +4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.45 and the Saints at $2.80.
The Falcons are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Saints (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Saints (+4.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 43.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Falcons vs Saints: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: New Orleans at $2.80 with Bet365
- Line: Saints +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Falcons vs Saints predictions are based on world-class modelling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Saints to win is our recommended option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a sports bettor.
Falcons vs Saints: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 18 is the Falcons prevailing 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs New Orleans game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Falcons vs Saints prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Falcons vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Saints? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Saints.
Robinson has a 15.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 55.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 15.7% probability
- Drake London: 9.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 8.7% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 7.6% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 3.7% probability
Saints First TD Tips
- Audric Estime: 8.6% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 7.2% probability
- Taysom Hill: 5.4% probability
- Kevin Austin: 5.3% probability
- Dante Pettis: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 55.3% probability
- Drake London: 38.9% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 35.9% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 32.1% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 17.3% probability
Saints Anytime TD Tips
- Audric Estime: 37.0% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 31.9% probability
- Taysom Hill: 25.0% probability
- Kevin Austin: 24.8% probability
- Dante Pettis: 22.4% probability
Falcons-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 212 passing yards, while the Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 234 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 212 projected passing yards
Saints Starting QB
- Tyler Shough: 234 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 88 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 36 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 3 projected yards
Saints Rushing Yards
- Audric Estime: 56 projected yards
- Tyler Shough: 20 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 17 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 60 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 47 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 39 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 30 projected yards
- David Sills: 23 projected yards
Saints Receiving Yards
- Juwan Johnson: 59 projected yards
- Kevin Austin: 47 projected yards
- Dante Pettis: 41 projected yards
- Ronnie Bell: 18 projected yards
- Audric Estime: 18 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs New Orleans game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Saints: Week 18 Essential Details
The NFL Week 18 game between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
- Date: Monday 5 January 2026
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs New Orleans predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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