Falcons vs Saints Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 18, 2026

The Atlanta Falcons will take on the New Orleans Saints in NFL Week 18 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, beginning at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Saints game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs New Orleans NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 61% chance of beating the Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Falcons vs Saints: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:

• Head to Head: Falcons $1.62, Saints $2.35
• Line: Falcons -3 ($1.91), Saints +3 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 43.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.62 and the Saints at $2.35.

The Falcons are 3-point favourites against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Saints (+3) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Falcons and the Saints have a 50% chance of covering the line.

The 43.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Falcons vs Saints: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Atlanta at $1.62 with Bet365
• Line: Saints +3 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Under 43.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Our Falcons vs Saints predictions are based on complex modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Falcons vs Saints: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 18 is the Falcons winning 22-20.

This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs New Orleans game in Week 18, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Falcons vs Saints: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Saints? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Saints.

Robinson has a 13.2% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 51.6% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons First TD Tips

• Bijan Robinson: 13.2% probability
• Drake London: 11.8% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 8.4% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 7.4% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 5.1% probability

Saints First TD Tips

• Chris Olave: 9.4% probability
• Audric Estime: 8.1% probability
• Juwan Johnson: 5.3% probability
• Kevin Austin: 4.5% probability
• Taysom Hill: 4.2% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons Anytime TD Tips

• Bijan Robinson: 51.6% probability
• Drake London: 47.8% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 36.9% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 33.5% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 24.4% probability

Saints Anytime TD Tips

• Chris Olave: 40.3% probability
• Audric Estime: 35.9% probability
• Juwan Johnson: 25.1% probability
• Kevin Austin: 21.9% probability
• Taysom Hill: 20.4% probability

Falcons-Saints Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 218 passing yards, while the Saints' Tyler Shough is expected to throw for 242 yards.

Falcons Starting QB

• Kirk Cousins: 218 projected passing yards

Saints Starting QB

• Tyler Shough: 242 projected passing yards

Falcons Rushing Yards

• Bijan Robinson: 83 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 31 projected yards
• Kirk Cousins: 6 projected yards

Saints Rushing Yards

• Audric Estime: 38 projected yards
• Alvin Kamara: 35 projected yards
• Tyler Shough: 21 projected yards

Falcons Receiving Yards

• Drake London: 68 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 44 projected yards
• Darnell Mooney: 42 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 32 projected yards
• David Sills: 13 projected yards

Saints Receiving Yards

• Chris Olave: 73 projected yards
• Juwan Johnson: 41 projected yards
• Kevin Austin: 34 projected yards
• Mason Tipton: 28 projected yards
• Alvin Kamara: 14 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs New Orleans game.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Falcons vs Saints: Week 18 Essential Details

The NFL Week 18 game between the Falcons and Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
• Date: Monday 5 January 2026
• Time: 5:00am AEDT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Atlanta vs New Orleans predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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