Falcons vs Rams Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2025
Last updated: Dec 30, 2025, 1:15AM | Published: Dec 23, 2025, 5:00AM
The Atlanta Falcons will face the favoured Los Angeles Rams in NFL Week 17 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Tuesday, beginning at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Rams game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Atlanta vs LA Rams NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Rams a 73% chance of beating the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Falcons vs Rams: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Falcons $3.90, Rams $1.27
- Line: Falcons +7 ($1.91), Rams -7 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $3.90 and the Rams at $1.27.
The Falcons are listed as 7-point underdogs against the Rams, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Rams (-7) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Falcons (+7) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 49-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Falcons vs Rams: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $3.90 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +7 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Falcons vs Rams predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Rams have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our recommended option due to the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Falcons vs Rams: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Rams at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 17 is the Rams winning 27-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs LA Rams game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Falcons vs Rams: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Rams? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Puka Nacua is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Rams.
Nacua has an 11.8% chance of getting in for six first at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Rams WR has a 51.5% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 10.8% probability
- Drake London: 9.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.2% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 6.0% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 3.6% probability
Rams First TD Tips
- Puka Nacua: 11.8% probability
- Kyren Williams: 11.2% probability
- Colby Parkinson: 7.6% probability
- Blake Corum: 7.5% probability
- Konata Mumpfield: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 48.7% probability
- Drake London: 44.8% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 31.8% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 30.9% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 19.8% probability
Rams Anytime TD Tips
- Puka Nacua: 51.5% probability
- Kyren Williams: 49.6% probability
- Colby Parkinson: 37.4% probability
- Blake Corum: 36.9% probability
- Konata Mumpfield: 21.8% probability
Falcons-Rams Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 230 passing yards, while the Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 273 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 230 projected passing yards
Rams Starting QB
- Matthew Stafford: 273 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 79 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 29 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 3 projected yards
Rams Rushing Yards
- Kyren Williams: 69 projected yards
- Blake Corum: 50 projected yards
- Puka Nacua: 3 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 73 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 53 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 42 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 32 projected yards
- David Sills: 15 projected yards
Rams Receiving Yards
- Puka Nacua: 114 projected yards
- Colby Parkinson: 38 projected yards
- Konata Mumpfield: 31 projected yards
- Terrance Ferguson: 27 projected yards
- Davis Allen: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Atlanta vs LA Rams match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Rams: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 game between the Falcons and Rams at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Tuesday 30 December 2025
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs LA Rams predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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