Falcons vs Rams Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 17, 2025
Last updated: Dec 23, 2025, 11:45AM | Published: Dec 23, 2025, 5:00AM
The Atlanta Falcons will face the favoured Los Angeles Rams in NFL Week 17 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Tuesday, December 30, starting at 12:15pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Falcons vs Rams game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Rams vs Falcons 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Rams a 76% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 17 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Rams: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for this NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $4.50, Rams $1.22
- Line: Falcons +8 ($1.91), Rams -8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $4.50 and the Rams at $1.22.
The Falcons are 8-point underdogs against the Rams, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Rams (-8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Falcons (+8) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Falcons vs Rams: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Atlanta at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Falcons +8 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Falcons vs Rams predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Rams have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Falcons to win is our recommended option due to the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to being a profitable punter in the long run.
Falcons vs Rams: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Rams at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 17 is the Rams prevailing 28-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs LA Rams game in Week 17, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Falcons vs Rams: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Falcons vs Rams? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Los Angeles' Kyren Williams is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Rams.
Williams has a 12.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Rams RB has a 51.3% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Drake London: 9.9% probability
- Bijan Robinson: 9.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 6.5% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 5.8% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 3.8% probability
Rams First TD Tips
- Kyren Williams: 12.4% probability
- Puka Nacua: 12.3% probability
- Blake Corum: 8.1% probability
- Colby Parkinson: 7.0% probability
- Konata Mumpfield: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Drake London: 47.8% probability
- Bijan Robinson: 46.9% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 34.9% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 31.7% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 22.0% probability
Rams Anytime TD Tips
- Kyren Williams: 51.3% probability
- Puka Nacua: 51.2% probability
- Blake Corum: 37.6% probability
- Colby Parkinson: 33.3% probability
- Konata Mumpfield: 19.1% probability
Falcons-Rams Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Kirk Cousins is projected for 212 passing yards, while the Rams' Matthew Stafford is expected to throw for 264 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Kirk Cousins: 212 projected passing yards
Rams Starting QB
- Matthew Stafford: 264 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 81 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 29 projected yards
- Kirk Cousins: 6 projected yards
Rams Rushing Yards
- Kyren Williams: 65 projected yards
- Blake Corum: 45 projected yards
- Puka Nacua: 4 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 71 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 43 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 41 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 31 projected yards
- David Sills: 13 projected yards
Rams Receiving Yards
- Puka Nacua: 95 projected yards
- Colby Parkinson: 30 projected yards
- Konata Mumpfield: 23 projected yards
- Terrance Ferguson: 22 projected yards
- Xavier Smith: 20 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs LA Rams game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Rams: Week 17 Essential Details
The NFL Week 17 match-up between the Falcons and Rams at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:15pm AEDT on Tuesday, December 30.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams
- Date: Tuesday 30 December 2025
- Time: 12:15pm AEDT
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs LA Rams predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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