Falcons vs Panthers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2025

The Atlanta Falcons will face the Carolina Panthers in NFL Week 11 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.

This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Falcons vs Panthers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.

Who Will Win?

Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Atlanta vs Carolina NFL game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Falcons a 63% chance of winning against the Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Falcons vs Panthers: Odds

The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are listed here:

• Head to Head: Falcons $1.44, Panthers $2.85
• Line: Falcons -4.5 ($1.91), Panthers +4.5 ($1.91)
• Total (Over/Under 41.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.44 and the Panthers at $2.85.

The Falcons are listed as 4.5-point favourites against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the underdog Panthers (+4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 41.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Panthers (+4.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 41.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.

Falcons vs Panthers: Betting Tips

• Head to Head: Carolina at $2.85 with Bet365
• Line: Panthers +4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
• Total Points: Over 41.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Falcons vs Panthers predictions are based on complex simulations and gambling expertise to give you the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Falcons have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Panthers to win is our recommended option due to the 2.3% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a punter.

Falcons vs Panthers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 11 is the Falcons winning 22-19.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Atlanta vs Carolina game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.

For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Falcons vs Panthers prediction.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Falcons vs Panthers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Panthers? The latest data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Panthers.

Robinson has a 13.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 48.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons First TD Tips

• Bijan Robinson: 13.4% probability
• Drake London: 11.3% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 10.0% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 5.4% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 4.7% probability

Panthers First TD Tips

• Rico Dowdle: 12.7% probability
• Tetairoa McMillan: 6.9% probability
• Xavier Legette: 4.4% probability
• Jalen Coker: 3.9% probability
• Ja'Tavion Sanders: 3.1% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Falcons Anytime TD Tips

• Bijan Robinson: 48.7% probability
• Drake London: 43.0% probability
• Tyler Allgeier: 39.3% probability
• Kyle Pitts: 23.4% probability
• Darnell Mooney: 20.9% probability

Panthers Anytime TD Tips

• Rico Dowdle: 48.0% probability
• Tetairoa McMillan: 30.1% probability
• Xavier Legette: 20.1% probability
• Jalen Coker: 18.3% probability
• Ja'Tavion Sanders: 14.9% probability

Falcons-Panthers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected for 229 passing yards. The Panthers' Bryce Young is expected to throw for 181 yards.

Falcons Starting QB

• Michael Penix: 229 projected passing yards

Panthers Starting QB

• Bryce Young: 181 projected passing yards

Falcons Rushing Yards

• Bijan Robinson: 79 projected yards
• Tyler Allgeier: 37 projected yards
• Michael Penix: 10 projected yards

Panthers Rushing Yards

• Rico Dowdle: 85 projected yards
• Chuba Hubbard: 17 projected yards
• Bryce Young: 14 projected yards

Falcons Receiving Yards

• Drake London: 81 projected yards
• Kyle Pitts: 49 projected yards
• Darnell Mooney: 40 projected yards
• Bijan Robinson: 38 projected yards
• David Sills: 9 projected yards

Panthers Receiving Yards

• Tetairoa McMillan: 61 projected yards
• Jalen Coker: 32 projected yards
• Xavier Legette: 25 projected yards
• Ja'Tavion Sanders: 21 projected yards
• Rico Dowdle: 18 projected yards

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Carolina match-up.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Falcons vs Panthers: Week 11 Essential Details

The NFL Week 11 game between the Falcons and Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.

• Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers
• Date: Monday 17 November 2025
• Time: 5:00am AEDT
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

Our Atlanta vs Carolina predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on NFL

Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, predictions for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.