Falcons vs Buccaneers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2025
Last updated: Sep 7, 2025, 5:01PM | Published: Aug 19, 2025, 4:35PM
The Atlanta Falcons will take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in NFL Week 1 action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday, starting at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Falcons vs Buccaneers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Atlanta vs Tampa Bay NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Buccaneers a 59% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 1 of the NFL season.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Falcons $1.91, Buccaneers $1.91
- Line: Falcons +1 ($1.91), Buccaneers -1 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Falcons at $1.91 and the Buccaneers at $1.91.
The Falcons are 1-point underdogs against the Buccaneers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Buccaneers (-1) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Buccaneers (-1) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Tampa Bay at $1.91 with Bet365
- Line: Buccaneers -1 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Our Falcons vs Buccaneers betting tips are based on complex simulations and gambling intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Falcons vs Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 1 is the Buccaneers prevailing 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay game in Week 1, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Falcons vs Buccaneers prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Falcons vs Buccaneers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs Buccaneers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Atlanta's Bijan Robinson is the most likely player to score the first TD in Falcons vs Buccaneers.
Robinson has a 16.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, while the Falcons RB has a 58.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons First TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 16.4% probability
- Drake London: 8.3% probability
- Michael Penix: 4.7% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 4.6% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 4.2% probability
Buccaneers First TD Tips
- Bucky Irving: 13.4% probability
- Mike Evans: 10.2% probability
- Emeka Egbuka: 6.4% probability
- Cade Otton: 4.5% probability
- Rachaad White: 4.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Falcons Anytime TD Tips
- Bijan Robinson: 58.4% probability
- Drake London: 35.8% probability
- Michael Penix: 22.2% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 21.8% probability
- Kyle Pitts: 20.3% probability
Buccaneers Anytime TD Tips
- Bucky Irving: 51.5% probability
- Mike Evans: 42.5% probability
- Emeka Egbuka: 29.3% probability
- Cade Otton: 21.5% probability
- Rachaad White: 21.3% probability
Falcons-Buccaneers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Michael Penix is projected for 251 passing yards. The Buccaneers' Baker Mayfield is expected to throw for 255 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Michael Penix: 251 projected passing yards
Buccaneers Starting QB
- Baker Mayfield: 255 projected passing yards
Falcons Rushing Yards
- Bijan Robinson: 78 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 28 projected yards
- Michael Penix: 8 projected yards
Buccaneers Rushing Yards
- Bucky Irving: 76 projected yards
- Rachaad White: 24 projected yards
- Baker Mayfield: 19 projected yards
Falcons Receiving Yards
- Drake London: 85 projected yards
- Kyle Pitts: 40 projected yards
- Ray-Ray McCloud: 37 projected yards
- Bijan Robinson: 28 projected yards
- KhaDarel Hodge: 19 projected yards
Buccaneers Receiving Yards
- Mike Evans: 76 projected yards
- Emeka Egbuka: 64 projected yards
- Cade Otton: 36 projected yards
- Sterling Shepard: 25 projected yards
- Bucky Irving: 23 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Atlanta vs Tampa Bay match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Falcons vs Buccaneers: Week 1 Essential Details
The NFL Week 1 match-up between the Falcons and Buccaneers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Date: Monday 8 September 2025
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Atlanta vs Tampa Bay predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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