Essendon vs Western Bulldogs Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 20, 2025
Last updated: Jul 25, 2025, 9:15AM | Published: Jul 21, 2025, 1:10AM
Essendon will take on the favoured Western Bulldogs in AFL Round 20 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs Western Bulldogs game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Essendon vs Western Bulldogs AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bulldogs a 97% chance of beating the Bombers at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $13.00, Bulldogs $1.04
- Line: Essendon +53.5 ($1.91), Bulldogs -53.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 177.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $13.00 and the Bulldogs at $1.04.
The Bombers are 53.5-point underdogs against the Bulldogs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bulldogs (-53.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 177.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Bulldogs (-53.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 177.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Bulldogs at $1.04 with Bet365
- Line: Bulldogs -53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 177.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Western Bulldogs predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium on Friday is the Bulldogs winning 115-61.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Western Bulldogs match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Essendon vs Bulldogs: Goal Scorers
Looking for Essendon vs Bulldogs goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Western's Aaron Naughton is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Western.
Naughton has an 8.3% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Bulldogs star has a 92.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 6.0% probability
- Nate Caddy: 4.7% probability
- Jade Gresham: 3.5% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 3.3% probability
- Archie Perkins: 3.0% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 8.3% probability
- Sam Darcy: 8.0% probability
- Rhylee West: 6.9% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 5.3% probability
- Lachlan McNeil: 4.4% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 85.4% probability
- Nate Caddy: 77.2% probability
- Jade Gresham: 66.5% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 65.2% probability
- Archie Perkins: 57.0% probability
Western Bulldogs
- Aaron Naughton: 92.3% probability
- Sam Darcy: 91.9% probability
- Rhylee West: 88.1% probability
- Marcus Bontempelli: 79.4% probability
- Lachlan McNeil: 70.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs Bulldogs match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs: Essential Details
The AFL Round 20 clash between the Bombers and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Western Bulldogs
- Date: Friday 25 July 2025
- Time: 7:20pm AEST
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Bulldogs predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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