Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 15, 2025, 9:21AM | Published: Aug 12, 2025, 5:21AM
Essendon will face the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, commencing at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Saints an 86% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 23 of the 2025 AFL season.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $5.00, St Kilda $1.19
- Line: Essendon +30.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -30.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 166.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $5.00 and St Kilda at $1.19.
The Bombers are 30.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-30.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 166.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 166.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: St Kilda at $1.19 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +30.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 166.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Essendon vs St Kilda best bets are based on complex modelling and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium this Friday is St Kilda prevailing 99-69.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs St Kilda match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs St Kilda match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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