Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 12, 2025, 5:20AM | Published: Aug 11, 2025, 5:25AM
Essendon will take on the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Essendon vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 75% chance of beating the Bombers at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $4.35, St Kilda $1.22
- Line: Essendon +26.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -26.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $4.35 and St Kilda at $1.22.
The Bombers are listed as 26.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-26.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+26.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to go over 65% of the time.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $4.35 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +26.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Our Essendon vs St Kilda betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium on Friday is St Kilda winning 97-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs St Kilda match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs St Kilda match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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