Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 23, 2025
Last updated: Aug 12, 2025, 12:40AM | Published: Aug 11, 2025, 5:25AM
Essendon will sqaure off with the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 23 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, starting at 7:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 75% chance of winning against the Bombers at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $4.35, St Kilda $1.22
- Line: Essendon +26.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -26.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $4.35 and St Kilda at $1.22.
The Bombers are 26.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-26.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+26.5) are predicted to cover the line 63% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to go over 65% of the time.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $4.35 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +26.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
These Essendon vs St Kilda betting tips are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the 2.5% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium this Friday is St Kilda winning 97-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs St Kilda match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs St Kilda game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 23 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:20pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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