Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jul 5, 2026, 5:15AM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 10:25AM
Essendon will sqaure off with the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Essendon vs St Kilda AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 79% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 17 of the 2026 AFL season.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $4.35, St Kilda $1.22
- Line: Essendon +25.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -25.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $4.35 and St Kilda at $1.22.
The Bombers are listed as 25.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-25.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 175.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and St Kilda have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 175.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $4.35 with Bet365
- Line: St Kilda -25.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 175.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Essendon vs St Kilda betting tips are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is St Kilda prevailing 101-75.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs St Kilda match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs St Kilda match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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