Essendon vs St Kilda Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 17, 2026
Last updated: Jun 28, 2026, 3:44PM | Published: Jun 28, 2026, 10:25AM
Essendon will sqaure off with the favoured St Kilda in AFL Round 17 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, July 5, starting at 3:15pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs St Kilda game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saints vs Bombers 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Saints a 79% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 17 of the 2026 AFL season.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for this AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $4.50, St Kilda $1.21
- Line: Essendon +27.5 ($1.91), St Kilda -27.5 ($1.91)
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $4.50 and St Kilda at $1.21.
The Bombers are listed as 27.5-point underdogs against the Saints, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Saints (-27.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Betting Tips
These Essendon vs St Kilda betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Saints have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs St Kilda at Marvel Stadium is St Kilda winning 97-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs St Kilda match on Sunday, July 5, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs St Kilda game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs St Kilda: Essential Details
The AFL Round 17 clash between the Bombers and Saints at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:15pm AEST on Sunday, July 5.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs St Kilda predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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