Essendon vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 22, 2025, 3:35AM | Published: May 20, 2025, 7:57PM
Essendon will face Richmond in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs Richmond game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bombers a 76% chance of winning against the Tigers at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $1.33, Richmond $3.35
- Line: Essendon -19.5 ($1.91), Richmond +19.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $1.33 and Richmond at $3.35.
The Bombers are listed as 19.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+19.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 161.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+19.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 161.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Essendon vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +19.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 161.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Essendon vs Richmond best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Essendon winning 90-71.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Richmond match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Richmond game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Bombers and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Richmond predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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