Essendon vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 23, 2025, 9:46AM | Published: May 20, 2025, 7:57PM
Essendon will take on Richmond in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Essendon vs Richmond game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bombers an 80% chance of winning against the Tigers at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs Richmond: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $1.27, Richmond $4.00
- Line: Essendon -24.5 ($1.91), Richmond +24.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 158.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $1.27 and Richmond at $4.00.
The Bombers are 24.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+24.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 158.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Tigers (+24.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 158.5-point over/under is expected to go over 60% of the time.
Essendon vs Richmond: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.27 with Bet365
- Line: Richmond +24.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 158.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Richmond best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium on Friday is Essendon winning 92-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Richmond match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Richmond game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Bombers and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Richmond predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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