Essendon vs Richmond Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 20, 2025, 7:55PM | Published: May 19, 2025, 11:10PM
Essendon will sqaure off with Richmond in AFL Round 11 action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Essendon vs Richmond game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Essendon vs Richmond AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bombers a 76% chance of defeating the Tigers in Round 11 of the 2025 AFL season.
Essendon vs Richmond: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $1.36, Richmond $3.20
- Line: Essendon -18.5 ($1.91), Richmond +18.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $1.36 and Richmond at $3.20.
The Bombers are listed as 18.5-point favourites against the Tigers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Tigers (+18.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and Richmond have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 165.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Essendon vs Richmond: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $1.36 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon -18.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Essendon vs Richmond betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs Richmond: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Richmond at Marvel Stadium this Friday is Essendon winning 91-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Richmond match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Essendon vs Richmond game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Richmond: Essential Details
The AFL Round 11 clash between the Bombers and Tigers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Richmond predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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