Essendon vs GWS Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 19, 2025
Last updated: Jul 17, 2025, 9:21AM | Published: Jul 13, 2025, 11:00AM
Essendon will face the favoured GWS in AFL Round 19 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs GWS game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Essendon vs GWS AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Giants a 90% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 19 of the 2025 AFL season.
Essendon vs GWS: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $7.25, GWS $1.11
- Line: Essendon +40.5 ($1.91), GWS -40.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $7.25 and GWS at $1.11.
The Bombers are listed as 40.5-point underdogs against the Giants, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Giants (-40.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+40.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to go over 54% of the time.
Essendon vs GWS: Best Bets
- Head to Head: GWS at $1.11 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +40.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Essendon vs GWS predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Essendon vs GWS: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs GWS at Marvel Stadium on Thursday is GWS prevailing 103-67.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs GWS match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Essendon vs GWS: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Essendon vs GWS goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, GWS' Toby Greene is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs GWS.
Greene has a 9.2% chance of kicking the first goal at Marvel Stadium, while the Giants star has a 94.2% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 6.9% probability
- Jade Gresham: 5.5% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 4.2% probability
- Zach Merrett: 3.3% probability
- Sam Durham: 3.0% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 9.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 8.2% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 6.4% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 5.8% probability
- Callum Brown: 5.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Essendon
- Peter Wright: 87.4% probability
- Jade Gresham: 80.8% probability
- Matt Guelfi: 71.3% probability
- Zach Merrett: 57.8% probability
- Sam Durham: 55.5% probability
GWS
- Toby Greene: 94.2% probability
- Jake Stringer: 89.7% probability
- Jake Riccardi: 84.6% probability
- Aaron Cadman: 79.9% probability
- Callum Brown: 76.7% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs GWS game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs GWS: Essential Details
The AFL Round 19 clash between the Bombers and Giants at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs GWS predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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