Essendon vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 11, 2026, 2:50PM | Published: May 10, 2026, 6:25AM
Essendon will face the favoured Fremantle in AFL Round 10 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Essendon vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Essendon vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers an 83% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 10 of the 2026 AFL season.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Essendon $5.75, Fremantle $1.14
- Line: Essendon +34.5 ($1.91), Fremantle -34.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 179.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $5.75 and Fremantle at $1.14.
The Bombers are listed as 34.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dockers (-34.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 179.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+34.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 179.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $5.75 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +34.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 179.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Fremantle best bets are based on detailed modelling and gambling intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to being profitable in the long run.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Fremantle at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is Fremantle winning 103-72.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Fremantle match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Fremantle match.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Bombers and Dockers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Fremantle predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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