Essendon vs Fremantle Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 17, 2026, 3:10AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 6:25AM
Essendon will face the favoured Fremantle in AFL Round 10 action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 1:10pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs Fremantle game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Essendon vs Fremantle AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Dockers an 81% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 10 of the 2026 AFL season.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $4.60, Fremantle $1.20
- Line: Essendon +28.5 ($1.91), Fremantle -28.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $4.60 and Fremantle at $1.20.
The Bombers are listed as 28.5-point underdogs against the Dockers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dockers (-28.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 170.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+28.5) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 170.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Essendon at $4.60 with Bet365
- Line: Essendon +28.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Essendon vs Fremantle predictions are based on world-class simulations and betting experience to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
While the Dockers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Fremantle at Marvel Stadium this Sunday is Fremantle winning 98-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs Fremantle match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and the best betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Essendon vs Fremantle match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Fremantle: Essential Details
The AFL Round 10 clash between the Bombers and Dockers at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:10pm AEST on Sunday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Fremantle predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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