Essendon vs Collingwood Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 7, 2026
Last updated: Apr 25, 2026, 5:11AM | Published: Apr 19, 2026, 10:32AM
Essendon will sqaure off with the favoured Collingwood in AFL Round 7 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 3:20pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Essendon vs Collingwood game, along with the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Essendon vs Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Magpies a 71% chance of winning against the Bombers at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $3.25, Collingwood $1.35
- Line: Essendon +17.5 ($1.91), Collingwood -17.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 176.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $3.25 and Collingwood at $1.35.
The Bombers are listed as 17.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Magpies (-17.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 176.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both Essendon and Collingwood have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 176.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Essendon at $3.25 with Bet365
- Line: Collingwood -17.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 176.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Collingwood best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Magpies have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Saturday is Collingwood winning 97-79.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Collingwood match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Essendon vs Collingwood: Goal Scorers
Looking for Essendon vs Collingwood goalscorer tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Collingwood's Jamie Elliott is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Essendon vs Collingwood.
Elliott has a 9.3% chance of kicking the first goal at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, while the Magpies star has a 94.9% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 6.6% probability
- Peter Wright: 4.9% probability
- Thomas Edwards: 4.4% probability
- Isaac Kako: 3.6% probability
- Archer May: 3.3% probability
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 9.3% probability
- Tim Membrey: 6.6% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 5.1% probability
- Daniel McStay: 5.1% probability
- Nick Daicos: 4.7% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Essendon
- Nate Caddy: 87.6% probability
- Peter Wright: 77.7% probability
- Thomas Edwards: 74.2% probability
- Isaac Kako: 65.8% probability
- Archer May: 65.8% probability
Collingwood
- Jamie Elliott: 94.9% probability
- Tim Membrey: 89.2% probability
- Lachie Schultz: 77.9% probability
- Daniel McStay: 77.9% probability
- Nick Daicos: 73.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Collingwood match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Collingwood: Essential Details
The AFL Round 7 clash between the Bombers and Magpies at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 3:20pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Essendon vs Collingwood
- Date: Saturday 25 April 2026
- Time: 3:20pm AEST
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Collingwood predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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