Essendon vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 24, 2025
Last updated: Aug 21, 2025, 9:30AM | Published: Aug 17, 2025, 11:21AM
Essendon will face the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 24 action at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, starting at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Essendon vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Thursday's Essendon vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Blues an 85% chance of winning against the Bombers in Round 24 of the 2025 AFL season.
Essendon vs Carlton: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at Marvel Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Essendon $3.70, Carlton $1.30
- Line: Essendon +21.5 ($1.91), Carlton -21.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 165.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $3.70 and Carlton at $1.30.
The Bombers are 21.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Blues (-21.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 165.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (-21.5) are predicted to cover the line 60% of the time, while the 165.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 75% of the time.
Essendon vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton -21.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 165.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Essendon vs Carlton predictions are based on market-leading simulations and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Essendon vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Carlton at Marvel Stadium this Thursday is Carlton winning 90-61.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Essendon vs Carlton match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Carlton game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Essendon vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Round 24 clash between the Bombers and Blues at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Thursday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Essendon vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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