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Essendon vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 13, 2026

Essendon will face the favoured Carlton in AFL Round 13 action at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, commencing at 7:20pm AEST.

This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Essendon vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds.

Who Will Win?

Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Essendon vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Blues an 82% chance of beating the Bombers in Round 13 of the 2026 AFL season.

Essendon vs Carlton: Odds

The current Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's AFL clash at the Melbourne Cricket Ground are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Essendon $5.25, Carlton $1.17
  • Line: Essendon +32.5 ($1.91), Carlton -32.5 ($1.91)
  • Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Essendon at $5.25 and Carlton at $1.17.

The Bombers are 32.5-point underdogs against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.

For the favourite Blues (-32.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.

The over/under for total points scored is set at 168.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bombers (+32.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 168.5-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Essendon vs Carlton: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Essendon at $5.25 with Bet365
  • Line: Essendon +32.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
  • Total Points: Under 168.5 at $1.91 with Bet365

Stats Insider's Essendon vs Carlton predictions are based on complex simulations and wagering experience to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.

While the Blues have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bombers to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being a profitable punter in the long run.

Essendon vs Carlton: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Essendon vs Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground this Sunday is Carlton winning 99-69.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Essendon vs Carlton match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.

18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Essendon vs Carlton game.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Essendon vs Carlton: Essential Details

The AFL Round 13 clash between the Bombers and Blues at the Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 7:20pm AEST on Sunday.

  • Teams: Essendon vs Carlton
  • Date: Sunday 7 June 2026
  • Time: 7:20pm AEST
  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Essendon vs Carlton predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the AFL, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, and futures odds for the AFL.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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