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Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula Prediction - WTA Italian Open 2025

Elise Mertens will take on Jessica Pegula in the round of 32 at the 2025 WTA Italian Open tournament on Sunday.

This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Mertens vs Pegula match, along with the latest betting odds in Australia.

Who Will Win?

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Sunday's Mertens-Pegula women's singles match 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives Pegula a 68% chance of defeating Mertens at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Mertens vs Pegula: Odds

The current betting odds in Australia for Sunday's WTA Italian Open match between Mertens and Pegula are listed here:

  • Head to Head: Mertens $3.00, Pegula $1.40
  • First Set: Mertens $2.62, Pegula $1.50

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Mertens at $3.00 and Pegula at $1.40.

TAB currently has odds for Mertens to win the first set at $2.62 and odds for Pegula to win the first set at $1.50.

Mertens vs Pegula: Betting Tips

  • Head to Head: Pegula at $1.40 with TAB
  • First Set: Pegula at $2.00 with TAB (1.6% edge)

Stats Insider's Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While Pegula is more likely to win the first set on this occassion, our recommended bet of Pegula ($2.00) is based on the likelihood of that happening, per our model, and the betting odds currently available.

Mertens vs Pegula: Prediction

Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula match at the WTA Italian Open tournament, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.

Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Mertens-Pegula match at the WTA Italian Open event.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every tennis match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.

Mertens vs Pegula: WTA Italian Open Essential Details

The 2025 WTA Italian Open match between Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula is scheduled to start at 4:30am AEST.

  • Match: Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula
  • Date: Sunday 11 May 2025
  • Approx. Time: 4:30am AEST
  • Event: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

Our Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our tennis tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Stats Insider is your home for betting on tennis in Australia, with the latest tennis betting news, predictions for every tennis tournament, and our in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players.

Stats Insider

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics website, offers Australian sports fans innovative tools and content to enhance their enjoyment of major sporting events both domestically and internationally. Our goal is to transform the sports fan experience by providing readily accessible, data-driven content for sports enthusiasts like us.

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