Eels vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2025
Last updated: Jul 31, 2025, 9:50AM | Published: Jul 27, 2025, 11:25PM
The Eels will face the favoured Storm in NRL Round 22 action at Bankwest Stadium on Thursday, with kick-off at 7:50pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Eels vs Storm game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Thursday's Parramatta vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Storm an 82% chance of winning against the Eels in Round 22 of the 2025 NRL season.
Eels vs Storm: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Thursday's NRL clash at Bankwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Eels $3.50, Storm $1.30
- Line: Eels +9.5 ($1.91), Storm -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Eels at $3.50 and the Storm at $1.30.
The Eels are listed as 9.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Storm (-9.5) are predicted to cover the line 58% of the time, while the 46.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 51% of the time.
Eels vs Storm: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.30 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
These Eels vs Storm predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
Eels vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Storm at Bankwest Stadium this Thursday is the Storm winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Eels vs Storm match on Thursday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Eels vs Storm: Try Scorers
Searching for Eels vs Storm try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Ryan Papenhuyzen is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs Melbourne.
Papenhuyzen has a 8.8% chance of scoring the first try at Bankwest Stadium, while the Storm star has a 48.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 8.2% probability
- Zac Lomax: 6.6% probability
- Will Penisini: 3.9% probability
- Joash Papalii: 3.6% probability
- Sean Russell: 3.4% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 8.8% probability
- Xavier Coates: 8.8% probability
- Grant Anderson: 7.2% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 5.5% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 45.7% probability
- Zac Lomax: 38.5% probability
- Will Penisini: 26.9% probability
- Mitchell Moses: 23.7% probability
- Sean Russell: 23.5% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Xavier Coates: 50.3% probability
- Ryan Papenhuyzen: 48.8% probability
- Grant Anderson: 44.1% probability
- Eliesa Katoa: 32.2% probability
- Harry Grant: 31.5% probability
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting tips before the Eels vs Storm match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Eels vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Eels and Storm at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:50pm AEST on Thursday.
- Teams: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Thursday 31 July 2025
- Kick-off: 7:50pm AEST
- Location: Bankwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Eels vs Storm predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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