Eels vs Storm Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2026
Last updated: May 16, 2026, 9:45AM | Published: May 10, 2026, 11:15PM
The Eels will face the favoured Storm in NRL Round 11 action at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:45pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Eels vs Storm game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Parramatta vs Melbourne NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Storm a 76% chance of beating the Eels in Round 11 of the 2026 NRL season.
Eels vs Storm: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Suncorp Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Eels $3.20, Storm $1.36
- Line: Eels +8.5 ($1.91), Storm -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 54.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Eels at $3.20 and the Storm at $1.36.
The Eels are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Storm, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Storm (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 54.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Storm (-8.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 54.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 62% of the time.
Eels vs Storm: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Storm at $1.36 with Bet365
- Line: Storm -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 54.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Stats Insider's Eels vs Storm best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Eels vs Storm: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Storm at Suncorp Stadium on Saturday is the Storm winning 28-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Eels vs Storm match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Eels vs Storm: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Eels vs Storm try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Storm's Will Warbrick is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs Melbourne.
Warbrick has a 9.7% chance of scoring the first try at Suncorp Stadium, while the Storm star has a 58.9% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 9.6% probability
- Brian Kelly: 5.9% probability
- Mitchell Moses: 3.3% probability
- Joash Papalii: 3.3% probability
- Jordan Samrani: 3.2% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 9.7% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 7.6% probability
- Moses Leo: 7.6% probability
- Harry Grant: 5.2% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 4.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 57.8% probability
- Brian Kelly: 42.1% probability
- Mitchell Moses: 28.4% probability
- Joash Papalii: 28.1% probability
- Jordan Samrani: 27.8% probability
Melbourne Storm
- Will Warbrick: 58.9% probability
- Sualauvi Faalogo: 51.3% probability
- Moses Leo: 48.9% probability
- Jahrome Hughes: 37.4% probability
- Harry Grant: 36.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Eels vs Storm game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Eels vs Storm: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Eels and Storm at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:45pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm
- Date: Saturday 16 May 2026
- Kick-off: 7:45pm AEST
- Location: Suncorp Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Eels vs Storm predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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