Eels vs Dragons Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 3, 2026
Last updated: Mar 22, 2026, 5:05AM | Published: Mar 15, 2026, 10:05PM
The Eels will face the Dragons in NRL Round 3 action at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday, beginning at 4:05pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Eels vs Dragons game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Parramatta vs St George Illawarra NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Eels a 67% chance of winning against the Dragons at Bankwest Stadium.
Eels vs Dragons: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at Bankwest Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Eels $1.54, Dragons $2.50
- Line: Eels -5.5 ($1.91), Dragons +5.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Eels at $1.54 and the Dragons at $2.50.
The Eels are listed as 5.5-point favourites against the Dragons, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Dragons (+5.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Eels (-5.5) are predicted to cover the line 55% of the time, while the 53.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Eels vs Dragons: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Eels at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Eels -5.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Eels vs Dragons: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Eels vs Dragons at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday is the Eels prevailing 27-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Eels vs St George match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Eels vs Dragons: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Eels vs Dragons try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Eels' Josh Addo-Carr is the most likely player to score the first try in Parramatta vs St George Illawarra.
Addo-Carr has a 13.6% chance of scoring the first try at Bankwest Stadium, while the Eels star has a 67.4% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 13.6% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 6.1% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 5.5% probability
- Mitchell Moses: 5.0% probability
- Sean Russell: 4.6% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 7.4% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 6.2% probability
- Setu Tu: 5.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 4.6% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 67.4% probability
- Isaiah Iongi: 42.1% probability
- Bailey Simonsson: 41.6% probability
- Mitchell Moses: 38.1% probability
- Sean Russell: 34.0% probability
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 47.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 42.8% probability
- Setu Tu: 40.5% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 37.0% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 26.9% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Eels vs Dragons match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Eels vs Dragons: Essential Details
The NRL Round 3 clash between the Eels and Dragons at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:05pm AEDT on Sunday.
- Teams: Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons
- Date: Sunday 22 March 2026
- Kick-off: 4:05pm AEDT
- Location: Bankwest Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Eels vs St George predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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