Dragons vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 19, 2026, 4:45PM | Published: May 18, 2026, 2:05AM
The Dragons will take on the favoured Warriors in NRL Round 12 action at Jubilee Park on Saturday, starting at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Warriors game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors an 82% chance of beating the Dragons in Round 12 of the 2026 NRL season.
Dragons vs Warriors: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Jubilee Park are listed here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $3.85, Warriors $1.24
- Line: Dragons +12.5 ($1.91), Warriors -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $3.85 and the Warriors at $1.24.
The Dragons are listed as 12.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (-12.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.
Dragons vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.24 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Warriors betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice every time.
Dragons vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Warriors at Jubilee Park on Saturday is the Warriors winning 29-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St George vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Warriors try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs New Zealand.
Khan-Pereira has a 13.4% chance of scoring the first try at Jubilee Park, while the Warriors star has a 69.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 5.8% probability
- Setu Tu: 5.3% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.7% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 4.2% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.1% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 13.4% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 10.7% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.1% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.1% probability
- Chanel Harris-Tavita: 4.1% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 39.4% probability
- Setu Tu: 37.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 32.2% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 31.5% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 26.0% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 69.0% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 60.9% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 36.3% probability
- Adam Pompey: 30.1% probability
- Leka Halasima: 29.5% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Dragons vs Warriors game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Dragons and Warriors at Jubilee Park is scheduled to start at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 23 May 2026
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Jubilee Park
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Warriors predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your home for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures odds for the NRL.
