Dragons vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 12, 2026
Last updated: May 25, 2026, 3:33AM | Published: May 18, 2026, 2:05AM
The Dragons will take on the favoured Warriors in NRL Round 12 action at Jubilee Park on Saturday, beginning at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Dragons vs Warriors game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Warriors an 82% chance of defeating the Dragons at Jubilee Park.
Dragons vs Warriors: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Jubilee Park are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $4.00, Warriors $1.22
- Line: Dragons +12.5 ($1.91), Warriors -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $4.00 and the Warriors at $1.22.
The Dragons are listed as 12.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-12.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 57% of the time.
Dragons vs Warriors: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.22 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Warriors best bets are based on market-leading modelling and betting experience to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dragons vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Warriors at Jubilee Park on Saturday is the Warriors winning 29-15.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live scorestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Dragons vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Alofiana Khan-Pereira is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs New Zealand.
Khan-Pereira has a 14.1% chance of scoring the first try at Jubilee Park, while the Warriors star has a 66.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 5.8% probability
- Setu Tu: 4.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 4.6% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 4.4% probability
- Hayden Buchanan: 3.4% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 14.1% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 11.2% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 5.6% probability
- Leka Halasima: 4.3% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 3.9% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 39.6% probability
- Setu Tu: 36.4% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 31.7% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 30.6% probability
- Hayden Buchanan: 24.4% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Alofiana Khan-Pereira: 66.7% probability
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 60.4% probability
- Ali Leiataua: 35.7% probability
- Leka Halasima: 30.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 30.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Warriors game.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 12 clash between the Dragons and Warriors at Jubilee Park is scheduled to begin at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 23 May 2026
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Jubilee Park
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Warriors predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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