Dragons vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 10, 2025
Last updated: May 10, 2025, 7:30AM | Published: May 4, 2025, 11:00PM
The Dragons will sqaure off with the Warriors in NRL Round 10 action at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Warriors game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 58% chance of winning against the Dragons in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season.
Dragons vs Warriors: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $2.00, Warriors $1.85
- Line: Dragons +1.5 ($1.91), Warriors -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $2.00 and the Warriors at $1.85.
The Dragons are 1.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Warriors (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 47.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Dragons vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.85 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Warriors predictions are based on complex simulations and betting experience to give you the best possible advice every time.
Dragons vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Warriors at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium on Saturday is the Warriors winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs New Zealand.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 9.9% chance of scoring the first try at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, while the Warriors star has a 54.0% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 7.0% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 6.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 6.5% probability
- Corey Allan: 4.7% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 3.9% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.9% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 6.0% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 5.8% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 5.1% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 3.6% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 42.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 39.8% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 39.3% probability
- Corey Allan: 31.2% probability
- Kyle Flanagan: 25.2% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 54.0% probability
- Taine Tuaupiki: 36.2% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 36.1% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 31.2% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 25.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Dragons vs Warriors match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 10 clash between the Dragons and Warriors at Netstrata Jubilee Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:30pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 10 May 2025
- Kick-off: 5:30pm AEST
- Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Warriors predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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