Dragons vs Sea Eagles Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 6, 2026
Last updated: Apr 10, 2026, 8:00AM | Published: Apr 7, 2026, 7:41AM
The Dragons will sqaure off with the favoured Sea Eagles in NRL Round 6 action at WIN Stadium on Friday, beginning at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Sea Eagles game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's St George Illawarra vs Manly NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Sea Eagles a 70% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 6 of the 2026 NRL season.
Dragons vs Sea Eagles: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $2.90, Sea Eagles $1.42
- Line: Dragons +7.5 ($1.91), Sea Eagles -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $2.90 and the Sea Eagles at $1.42.
The Dragons are 7.5-point underdogs against the Sea Eagles, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Sea Eagles (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Sea Eagles (-7.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Dragons vs Sea Eagles: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Sea Eagles at $1.42 with Bet365
- Line: Sea Eagles -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
These Dragons vs Sea Eagles betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting expertise to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Dragons vs Sea Eagles: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Sea Eagles at WIN Stadium this Friday is the Sea Eagles winning 26-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St George vs Sea Eagles match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Sea Eagles: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Sea Eagles try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Sea Eagles' Tom Trbojevic is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Manly.
Trbojevic has a 9.0% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Sea Eagles star has a 53.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.3% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 6.0% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 6.0% probability
- Setu Tu: 5.3% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 3.3% probability
Manly Sea Eagles
- Tom Trbojevic: 9.0% probability
- Lehi Hopoate: 7.4% probability
- Tolutau Koula: 7.3% probability
- Jason Saab: 6.7% probability
- Haumole Olakau'atu: 5.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 43.3% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 41.4% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 38.0% probability
- Setu Tu: 36.6% probability
- Jaydn Su'A: 24.7% probability
Manly Sea Eagles
- Tom Trbojevic: 53.8% probability
- Lehi Hopoate: 47.7% probability
- Tolutau Koula: 46.8% probability
- Jason Saab: 42.7% probability
- Haumole Olakau'atu: 34.9% probability
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Sea Eagles game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Sea Eagles: Essential Details
The NRL Round 6 clash between the Dragons and Sea Eagles at WIN Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Sea Eagles
- Date: Friday 10 April 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Sea Eagles predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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