Dragons vs Panthers Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 27, 2025
Last updated: Sep 6, 2025, 5:00AM | Published: Aug 31, 2025, 11:33PM
The Dragons will take on the favoured Panthers in NRL Round 27 action at WIN Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 3:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Panthers game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs Penrith NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Panthers an 81% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 27 of the 2025 NRL season.
Dragons vs Panthers: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $6.00, Panthers $1.15
- Line: Dragons +15.5 ($1.91), Panthers -15.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $6.00 and the Panthers at $1.15.
The Dragons are listed as 15.5-point underdogs against the Panthers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Panthers (-15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+15.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Dragons vs Panthers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: St George at $6.00 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +15.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Panthers betting tips are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Panthers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dragons to win is our recommended option because of the 2.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Dragons vs Panthers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Panthers at WIN Stadium this Saturday is the Panthers winning 29-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Panthers match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Panthers: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Panthers try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Panthers' Thomas Jenkins is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Penrith.
Jenkins has a 8.4% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Panthers star has a 51.1% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Christian Tuipulotu: 5.5% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 5.4% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 3.9% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 3.9% probability
- Hayden Buchanan: 2.8% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 8.4% probability
- Casey McLean: 8.2% probability
- Paul Alamoti: 8.0% probability
- Izack Tago: 6.1% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 6.0% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 37.0% probability
- Christian Tuipulotu: 35.3% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 28.3% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 27.9% probability
- Hayden Buchanan: 21.5% probability
Penrith Panthers
- Thomas Jenkins: 51.1% probability
- Paul Alamoti: 50.1% probability
- Casey McLean: 47.9% probability
- Izack Tago: 39.5% probability
- Dylan Edwards: 38.2% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Panthers match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Panthers: Essential Details
The NRL Round 27 clash between the Dragons and Panthers at WIN Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Penrith Panthers
- Date: Saturday 6 September 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Panthers predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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