Dragons vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 6, 2026, 3:22AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 11:05PM
The Dragons will sqaure off with the favoured Knights in NRL Round 10 action at WIN Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Dragons vs Knights game, along with the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 74% chance of defeating the Dragons in Round 10 of the 2026 NRL season.
Dragons vs Knights: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $3.20, Knights $1.36
- Line: Dragons +8.5 ($1.91), Knights -8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 51.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $3.20 and the Knights at $1.36.
The Dragons are listed as 8.5-point underdogs against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Knights (-8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 51.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dragons and the Knights have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 51.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Dragons vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $1.36 with Bet365
- Line: Knights -8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 51.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Stats Insider's best bets for today across any sport.
These Dragons vs Knights best bets are based on market-leading modelling and wagering expertise to provide you with the best possible advice every time.
Dragons vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Knights at WIN Stadium on Saturday is the Knights prevailing 27-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St George vs Knights match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Knights: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Newcastle.
Young has a 11.0% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Knights star has a 62.3% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 5.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.9% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 5.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.7% probability
- Dylan Egan: 2.8% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 11.0% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 8.4% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.2% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.1% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 4.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 42.5% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 39.8% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 36.1% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 35.9% probability
- Dylan Egan: 23.6% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 62.3% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 52.9% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 38.6% probability
- Bradman Best: 37.7% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 32.8% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Dragons vs Knights game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips for every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Round 10 clash between the Dragons and Knights at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Saturday 9 May 2026
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Knights predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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