Dragons vs Knights Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 10, 2026
Last updated: May 9, 2026, 5:00AM | Published: May 3, 2026, 11:05PM
The Dragons will face the favoured Knights in NRL Round 10 action at WIN Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Dragons vs Knights game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's St George Illawarra vs Newcastle NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Knights a 74% chance of winning against the Dragons in Round 10 of the 2026 NRL season.
Dragons vs Knights: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $3.35, Knights $1.33
- Line: Dragons +10.5 ($1.91), Knights -10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 53.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $3.35 and the Knights at $1.33.
The Dragons are 10.5-point underdogs against the Knights, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Knights (-10.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 53.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dragons (+10.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 53.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 61% of the time.
Dragons vs Knights: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Knights at $1.33 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +10.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 53.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best bets of the day across all sports.
These Dragons vs Knights predictions are based on detailed simulations and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dragons vs Knights: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Knights at WIN Stadium on Saturday is the Knights winning 27-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Knights match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Knights: Try Scorers
Looking for Dragons vs Knights try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Knights' Dominic Young is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Newcastle.
Young has a 11.0% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Knights star has a 61.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 5.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.4% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 5.0% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 4.4% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 4.0% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 11.0% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 8.7% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 5.8% probability
- Bradman Best: 5.7% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 4.5% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Setu Tu: 39.9% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 38.2% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 34.8% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 34.5% probability
- Tyrell Sloan: 28.5% probability
Newcastle Knights
- Dominic Young: 61.7% probability
- Greg Marzhew: 54.2% probability
- Fletcher Sharpe: 39.2% probability
- Bradman Best: 39.1% probability
- Dylan Lucas: 33.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Knights match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Knights: Essential Details
The NRL Round 10 clash between the Dragons and Knights at WIN Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights
- Date: Saturday 9 May 2026
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Knights predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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