Dragons vs Eels Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 27, 2026
Last updated: Sep 6, 2026, 3:57AM | Published: Aug 30, 2026, 11:21PM
The Dragons will take on the Eels in NRL Round 27 action at WIN Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 2:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Dragons vs Eels game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's St George Illawarra vs Parramatta NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Eels a 67% chance of defeating the Dragons at WIN Stadium.
Dragons vs Eels: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Sunday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $2.35, Eels $1.54
- Line: Dragons +4.5 ($1.91), Eels -4.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 56.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $2.35 and the Eels at $1.54.
The Dragons are 4.5-point underdogs against the Eels, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Eels (-4.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 56.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Eels (-4.5) are predicted to cover the line 52% of the time, while the 56.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 59% of the time.
Dragons vs Eels: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Eels at $1.54 with Bet365
- Line: Eels -4.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 56.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Eels best bets are based on market-leading simulations and wagering experience to give you the best possible advice every day of the year.
Dragons vs Eels: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Eels at WIN Stadium on Sunday is the Eels winning 27-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Eels match on Sunday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Eels: Try Scorers
Are you looking for Dragons vs Eels try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dragons' Tyrell Sloan is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Parramatta.
Sloan has a 9.8% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Dragons star has a 60.6% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 9.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 7.2% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 6.1% probability
- Daniel Atkinson: 4.6% probability
- Moses Suli: 3.0% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 8.3% probability
- Brian Kelly: 6.3% probability
- Will Penisini: 5.3% probability
- Jordan Samrani: 5.2% probability
- Ronald Volkman: 4.4% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 60.6% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 47.9% probability
- Mathew Feagai: 44.3% probability
- Daniel Atkinson: 35.5% probability
- Hamish Stewart: 27.6% probability
Parramatta Eels
- Josh Addo-Carr: 56.2% probability
- Brian Kelly: 46.2% probability
- Will Penisini: 40.6% probability
- Jordan Samrani: 38.3% probability
- Sean Russell: 35.4% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting predictions before the Dragons vs Eels match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Eels: Essential Details
The NRL Round 27 clash between the Dragons and Eels at WIN Stadium is scheduled to begin at 2:00pm AEST on Sunday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels
- Date: Sunday 6 September 2026
- Kick-off: 2:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Eels predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NRL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
If you purchase a product or register for an account through one of the links on our site, we may receive compensation.
More on the NRL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NRL, with the latest NRL betting news, tips for every NRL game, and futures probabilities for the NRL.

