Dragons vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Jul 27, 2026, 6:50AM | Published: Jul 27, 2026, 12:40AM
The Dragons will sqaure off with the favoured Dolphins in NRL Round 22 action at WIN Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Dolphins game, along with the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Based on trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's St George Illawarra vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Dolphins an 81% chance of winning against the Dragons in Round 22 of the 2026 NRL season.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Dragons $4.00, Dolphins $1.22
- Line: Dragons +12.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -12.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 49.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $4.00 and the Dolphins at $1.22.
The Dragons are listed as 12.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-12.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 49.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dolphins (-12.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 49.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $1.22 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins -12.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 49.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Dragons vs Dolphins best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Dolphins at WIN Stadium this Friday is the Dolphins winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the St George vs Dolphins match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Dolphins game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Dragons and Dolphins at WIN Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Dolphins
- Date: Friday 31 July 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Dolphins predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
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