Dragons vs Dolphins Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 22, 2026
Last updated: Jul 31, 2026, 7:57AM | Published: Jul 27, 2026, 12:40AM
The Dragons will take on the favoured Dolphins in NRL Round 22 action at WIN Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dragons vs Dolphins game, plus the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's St George Illawarra vs Dolphins NRL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins an 83% chance of defeating the Dragons at WIN Stadium.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Friday's NRL clash at WIN Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dragons $5.00, Dolphins $1.18
- Line: Dragons +15.5 ($1.91), Dolphins -15.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dragons at $5.00 and the Dolphins at $1.18.
The Dragons are listed as 15.5-point underdogs against the Dolphins, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Dolphins (-15.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Dragons (+15.5) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 50.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 58% of the time.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Dolphins at $1.18 with Bet365
- Line: Dragons +15.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips for today across any sport.
Today's Dragons vs Dolphins betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dragons vs Dolphins at WIN Stadium this Friday is the Dolphins winning 30-16.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the St George vs Dolphins match on Friday, including data-driven predictions and free betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dragons vs Dolphins: Try Scorers
Searching for Dragons vs Dolphins try scorers? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Dolphins' Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow is the most likely player to score the first try in St George Illawarra vs Dolphins.
Tabuai-Fidow has a 10.1% chance of scoring the first try at WIN Stadium, while the Dolphins star has a 55.8% chance of scoring a try at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 6.8% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 5.3% probability
- Setu Tu: 5.0% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 3.4% probability
- Jacob Liddle: 2.2% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 10.1% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 9.7% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 9.3% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 7.2% probability
- Jack Bostock: 4.7% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
St George Illawarra Dragons
- Tyrell Sloan: 43.6% probability
- Setu Tu: 35.4% probability
- Valentine Holmes: 34.0% probability
- Clinton Gutherson: 25.7% probability
- Jacob Liddle: 17.8% probability
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 55.8% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 55.7% probability
- Selwyn Cobbo: 55.6% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 44.9% probability
- Jack Bostock: 36.2% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting analysis before the Dragons vs Dolphins game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NRL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dragons vs Dolphins: Essential Details
The NRL Round 22 clash between the Dragons and Dolphins at WIN Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:00pm AEST on Friday.
- Teams: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Dolphins
- Date: Friday 31 July 2026
- Kick-off: 6:00pm AEST
- Location: WIN Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our St George vs Dolphins predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
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