Dolphins vs Warriors Prediction and Tips - NRL Round 11, 2025
Last updated: May 17, 2025, 5:00AM | Published: May 14, 2025, 9:57PM
The Dolphins will take on the Warriors in NRL Round 11 action at on Saturday, beginning at 3:00pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Dolphins vs Warriors game, as well as the latest betting odds and try scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Dolphins vs New Zealand NRL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Warriors a 59% chance of defeating the Dolphins in Round 11 of the 2025 NRL season.
Dolphins vs Warriors: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's NRL clash at are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $2.05, Warriors $1.80
- Line: Dolphins +1.5 ($1.91), Warriors -1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $2.05 and the Warriors at $1.80.
The Dolphins are listed as 1.5-point underdogs against the Warriors, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Warriors (-1.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Warriors (-1.5) are predicted to cover the line 59% of the time, while the 48.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Dolphins vs Warriors: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Warriors at $1.80 with Bet365
- Line: Warriors -1.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
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Dolphins vs Warriors: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Warriors at on Saturday is the Warriors winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Dolphins vs Warriors match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Warriors: Try Scorers
Looking for Dolphins vs Warriors try scorers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, the Warriors' Dallin Watene-Zelezniak is the most likely player to score the first try in Dolphins vs New Zealand.
Watene-Zelezniak has a 9.5% chance of scoring the first try at , while the Warriors star has a 54.7% chance of scoring a try at any time during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first try scorer and anytime try scorer probabilities.
First Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 7.4% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 6.4% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 6.2% probability
- Jack Bostock: 5.6% probability
- Jake Averillo: 4.6% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 9.5% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 7.2% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 6.2% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 4.8% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 3.3% probability
Anytime Try Scorer Tips
Dolphins
- Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow: 47.6% probability
- Jamayne Isaako: 42.2% probability
- Herbie Farnworth: 39.2% probability
- Jack Bostock: 38.8% probability
- Jake Averillo: 33.3% probability
New Zealand Warriors
- Dallin Watene-Zelezniak: 54.7% probability
- Roger Tuivasa-Sheck: 43.9% probability
- Luke Metcalf: 38.6% probability
- Kurt Capewell: 32.9% probability
- Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad: 25.1% probability
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Dolphins vs Warriors match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NRL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Warriors: Essential Details
The NRL Round 11 clash between the Dolphins and Warriors at is scheduled to start at 3:00pm AEST on Saturday.
- Teams: Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Saturday 17 May 2025
- Kick-off: 3:00pm AEST
- Location:
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Dolphins vs Warriors predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our rugby league tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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