Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 8, 2026
Last updated: Oct 27, 2026, 12:25PM | Published: Oct 25, 2026, 4:01AM
The Miami Dolphins will take on the favoured New England Patriots in NFL Week 8 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Dolphins vs Patriots game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Patriots a 74% chance of defeating the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $4.00, Patriots $1.26
- Line: Dolphins +7.5 ($1.91), Patriots -7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $4.00 and the Patriots at $1.26.
The Dolphins are 7.5-point underdogs against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Patriots (-7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Patriots have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 54% of the time.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $4.00 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots -7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Today's Dolphins vs Patriots betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting experience to bring you the best possible advice every time.
While the Patriots have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option due to the 1.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 8 is the Patriots winning 25-18.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs New England game in Week 8, including data-driven predictions and top betting tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Patriots? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's Ollie Gordon is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Patriots.
Gordon has a 16.1% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 54.9% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- Ollie Gordon: 16.1% probability
- Malik Willis: 6.6% probability
- Jaylen Wright: 3.9% probability
- Malik Washington: 3.2% probability
- Chris Bell: 2.3% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 8.5% probability
- A.J. Brown: 8.1% probability
- TreVeyon Henderson: 6.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 5.4% probability
- Drake Maye: 4.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- Ollie Gordon: 54.9% probability
- Malik Willis: 27.8% probability
- Jaylen Wright: 17.4% probability
- Malik Washington: 14.8% probability
- Chris Bell: 10.8% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 37.4% probability
- A.J. Brown: 36.0% probability
- TreVeyon Henderson: 28.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 26.0% probability
- Drake Maye: 22.5% probability
Dolphins-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Malik Willis is projected for 197 passing yards, while the Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 241 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Malik Willis: 197 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 241 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- Ollie Gordon: 48 projected yards
- Malik Willis: 31 projected yards
- Jaylen Wright: 19 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 38 projected yards
- TreVeyon Henderson: 29 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 27 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Malik Washington: 42 projected yards
- Chris Bell: 33 projected yards
- Caleb Douglas: 31 projected yards
- Greg Dulcich: 26 projected yards
- Kevin Coleman: 13 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- A.J. Brown: 60 projected yards
- DeMario Douglas: 38 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 33 projected yards
- Kyle Williams: 21 projected yards
- Efton Chism: 21 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Miami vs New England game.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Patriots: Week 8 Essential Details
The NFL Week 8 game between the Dolphins and Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 2 November 2026
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs New England predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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