Dolphins vs Jets Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2025
Last updated: Sep 28, 2025, 9:55PM | Published: Sep 22, 2025, 4:01AM
The Miami Dolphins will face the New York Jets in NFL Week 4 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 9:15am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dolphins vs Jets game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Miami vs NY Jets NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Dolphins a 59% chance of beating the Jets at Hard Rock Stadium.
Dolphins vs Jets: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $1.67, Jets $2.25
- Line: Dolphins -2.5 ($1.91), Jets +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 44.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $1.67 and the Jets at $2.25.
The Dolphins are 2.5-point favourites against the Jets, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jets (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Jets have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 44.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 56% of the time.
Dolphins vs Jets: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $1.67 with Bet365
- Line: Jets +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 44.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Dolphins vs Jets predictions are based on complex modelling and wagering experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Dolphins vs Jets: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Jets at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 4 is the Dolphins prevailing 23-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs NY Jets game in Week 4, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Jets: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Jets? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's De'Von Achane is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Jets.
Achane has a 17.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 57.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 17.4% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 8.9% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 6.0% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 5.2% probability
- Malik Washington: 4.1% probability
Jets First TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 9.9% probability
- Breece Hall: 9.5% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 8.5% probability
- Mason Taylor: 3.6% probability
- Braelon Allen: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 57.8% probability
- Tyreek Hill: 35.6% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 25.8% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 22.6% probability
- Malik Washington: 18.1% probability
Jets Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 37.0% probability
- Breece Hall: 35.8% probability
- Garrett Wilson: 32.7% probability
- Mason Taylor: 15.4% probability
- Braelon Allen: 15.2% probability
Dolphins-Jets Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 236 passing yards. The Jets' Justin Fields is expected to throw for 190 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 236 projected passing yards
Jets Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 190 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 58 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 28 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 10 projected yards
Jets Rushing Yards
- Breece Hall: 64 projected yards
- Justin Fields: 47 projected yards
- Braelon Allen: 20 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Tyreek Hill: 70 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 55 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 40 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 27 projected yards
- Darren Waller: 16 projected yards
Jets Receiving Yards
- Garrett Wilson: 66 projected yards
- Josh Reynolds: 25 projected yards
- Mason Taylor: 24 projected yards
- Breece Hall: 24 projected yards
- Tyler Johnson: 18 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs NY Jets match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Jets: Week 4 Essential Details
The NFL Week 4 game between the Dolphins and Jets at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:15am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets
- Date: Tuesday 30 September 2025
- Time: 9:15am AEST
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs NY Jets predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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