Dolphins vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2026
Last updated: Sep 27, 2026, 5:01PM | Published: Sep 20, 2026, 4:01AM
The Miami Dolphins will sqaure off with the favoured Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 3 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 3:00am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Dolphins vs Chiefs game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chiefs a 78% chance of beating the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium.
Dolphins vs Chiefs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $5.75, Chiefs $1.15
- Line: Dolphins +9.5 ($1.91), Chiefs -9.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $5.75 and the Chiefs at $1.15.
The Dolphins are 9.5-point underdogs against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chiefs (-9.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Chiefs have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 45.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Dolphins vs Chiefs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $5.75 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins +9.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
When you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
These Dolphins vs Chiefs betting tips are based on market-leading simulations and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Chiefs have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our preferred option because of the 4.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
Dolphins vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Chiefs at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 3 is the Chiefs winning 26-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Miami vs Kansas City game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Chiefs? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Kenneth Walker is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Chiefs.
Walker has a 16.4% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 58.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 10.5% probability
- Malik Willis: 5.1% probability
- Malik Washington: 4.9% probability
- Greg Dulcich: 3.5% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 3.4% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kenneth Walker: 16.4% probability
- Rashee Rice: 8.7% probability
- Travis Kelce: 7.2% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 6.8% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 4.3% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 40.6% probability
- Malik Willis: 22.4% probability
- Malik Washington: 21.8% probability
- Greg Dulcich: 15.9% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 15.5% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kenneth Walker: 58.6% probability
- Rashee Rice: 37.3% probability
- Travis Kelce: 32.2% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 30.8% probability
- Patrick Mahomes: 20.7% probability
Dolphins-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Malik Willis is projected for 192 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 240 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Malik Willis: 192 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 240 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 64 projected yards
- Malik Willis: 35 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 14 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kenneth Walker: 87 projected yards
- Emmett Johnson: 27 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 19 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Malik Washington: 44 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 30 projected yards
- Greg Dulcich: 26 projected yards
- Chris Bell: 26 projected yards
- Kevin Coleman: 21 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Rashee Rice: 52 projected yards
- Travis Kelce: 51 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 44 projected yards
- Kenneth Walker: 26 projected yards
- Tyquan Thornton: 26 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Miami vs Kansas City game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Chiefs: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Dolphins and Chiefs at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 28 September 2026
- Time: 3:00am AEST
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Kansas City predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
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