Dolphins vs Chargers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 6, 2025
Last updated: Oct 12, 2025, 5:01PM | Published: Oct 5, 2025, 4:02AM
The Miami Dolphins will take on the Los Angeles Chargers in NFL Week 6 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dolphins vs Chargers game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Miami vs LA Chargers NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Chargers a 63% chance of winning against the Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium.
Dolphins vs Chargers: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are listed below:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $2.55, Chargers $1.54
- Line: Dolphins +3.5 ($1.91), Chargers -3.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $2.55 and the Chargers at $1.54.
The Dolphins are listed as 3.5-point underdogs against the Chargers, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Chargers (-3.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Dolphins and the Chargers have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 45.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Dolphins vs Chargers: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Miami at $2.55 with Bet365
- Line: Chargers -3.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Dolphins vs Chargers predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Chargers have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Dolphins vs Chargers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Chargers at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 6 is the Chargers winning 24-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs LA Chargers game in Week 6, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Dolphins vs Chargers prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Chargers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs Chargers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Miami's De'Von Achane is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Chargers.
Achane has a 14.6% chance of getting in for six first at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Dolphins RB has a 53.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 14.6% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 7.5% probability
- Darren Waller: 5.7% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 4.1% probability
- Malik Washington: 3.3% probability
Chargers First TD Tips
- Keenan Allen: 9.2% probability
- Hassan Haskins: 8.7% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 8.7% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 6.4% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 53.4% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 32.6% probability
- Darren Waller: 25.9% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 19.5% probability
- Malik Washington: 15.9% probability
Chargers Anytime TD Tips
- Keenan Allen: 36.1% probability
- Hassan Haskins: 34.6% probability
- Ladd McConkey: 34.5% probability
- Kimani Vidal: 26.9% probability
- Oronde Gadsden: 16.1% probability
Dolphins-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 229 passing yards. The Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for 259 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 229 projected passing yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 259 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 63 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 20 projected yards
- Tua Tagovailoa: 7 projected yards
Chargers Rushing Yards
- Hassan Haskins: 44 projected yards
- Kimani Vidal: 32 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 24 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 72 projected yards
- Darren Waller: 41 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 36 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 31 projected yards
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 25 projected yards
Chargers Receiving Yards
- Ladd McConkey: 71 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 65 projected yards
- Tre' Harris: 31 projected yards
- Oronde Gadsden: 28 projected yards
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 17 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting predictions before the Miami vs LA Chargers match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Chargers: Week 6 Essential Details
The NFL Week 6 match-up between the Dolphins and Chargers at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Monday 13 October 2025
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs LA Chargers predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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