Dolphins vs Bills Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 10, 2025
Last updated: Nov 9, 2025, 6:02PM | Published: Nov 2, 2025, 4:02AM
The Miami Dolphins will take on the favoured Buffalo Bills in NFL Week 10 action at Hard Rock Stadium on Monday, starting at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Dolphins vs Bills game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Monday's Miami vs Buffalo NFL game 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills a 76% chance of beating the Dolphins in Week 10 of the NFL season.
Dolphins vs Bills: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Hard Rock Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Dolphins $4.50, Bills $1.22
- Line: Dolphins +8 ($1.91), Bills -8 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 50 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Dolphins at $4.50 and the Bills at $1.22.
The Dolphins are listed as 8-point underdogs against the Bills, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the favourite Bills (-8) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 50 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Dolphins (+8) are predicted to cover the line 51% of the time, while the 50-point over/under is expected to stay under 55% of the time.
Dolphins vs Bills: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Miami at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Dolphins +8 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 50 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Dolphins vs Bills betting tips are based on world-class modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Dolphins to win is our recommended option because of the 1.6% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Dolphins vs Bills: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Dolphins vs Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Week 10 is the Bills winning 28-20.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Miami vs Buffalo game in Week 10, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Dolphins vs Bills prediction.
18+. Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.Dolphins vs Bills: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Dolphins vs Bills? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's James Cook is the most likely player to score the first TD in Dolphins vs Bills.
Cook has a 13.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Hard Rock Stadium, while the Bills RB has a 57.1% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins First TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 12.8% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 7.2% probability
- Malik Washington: 4.5% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 3.8% probability
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 3.0% probability
Bills First TD Tips
- James Cook: 13.3% probability
- Josh Allen: 10.8% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 5.6% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.5% probability
- Keon Coleman: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Dolphins Anytime TD Tips
- De'Von Achane: 53.5% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 35.1% probability
- Malik Washington: 23.8% probability
- Ollie Gordon: 20.1% probability
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 16.3% probability
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 57.1% probability
- Josh Allen: 49.8% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 30.1% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 29.8% probability
- Keon Coleman: 25.9% probability
Dolphins-Bills Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected for 220 passing yards, while the Bills' Josh Allen is expected to throw for 240 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 220 projected passing yards
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 240 projected passing yards
Dolphins Rushing Yards
- De'Von Achane: 64 projected yards
- Ollie Gordon: 21 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 8 projected yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 90 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 31 projected yards
- Ty Johnson: 14 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving Yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 71 projected yards
- Malik Washington: 35 projected yards
- De'Von Achane: 35 projected yards
- Greg Dulcich: 25 projected yards
- Nick Westbrook-Ikhine: 24 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 54 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 48 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 41 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 17 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 16 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Miami vs Buffalo game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Dolphins vs Bills: Week 10 Essential Details
The NFL Week 10 match-up between the Dolphins and Bills at Hard Rock Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday 10 November 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Miami vs Buffalo predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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